Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 0.000537 0.000616 0.000699 0.000794 0.000898 0.001010 0.001139
2025-07-13 0.000427 0.000536 0.000662 0.000814 0.000994 0.001197 0.001442
2025-07-20 0.000366 0.000490 0.000639 0.000828 0.001059 0.001330 0.001669
2025-07-27 0.000311 0.000441 0.000605 0.000821 0.001094 0.001424 0.001849
2025-08-03 0.000265 0.000398 0.000571 0.000806 0.001114 0.001496 0.002000
2025-08-10 0.000237 0.000373 0.000557 0.000815 0.001162 0.001601 0.002192
2025-08-17 0.000211 0.000348 0.000540 0.000816 0.001196 0.001689 0.002363
2025-08-24 0.000180 0.000313 0.000505 0.000790 0.001192 0.001723 0.002465
2025-08-31 0.000155 0.000283 0.000474 0.000766 0.001188 0.001756 0.002563
2025-09-07 0.000138 0.000265 0.000459 0.000764 0.001212 0.001827 0.002712
2025-09-14 0.000125 0.000249 0.000447 0.000764 0.001239 0.001902 0.002868
2025-09-21 0.000111 0.000232 0.000430 0.000755 0.001252 0.001957 0.002997
2025-09-28 0.000097 0.000214 0.000410 0.000741 0.001257 0.002000 0.003112
2025-10-05 0.000092 0.000209 0.000412 0.000762 0.001315 0.002120 0.003339
2025-10-12 0.000085 0.000202 0.000410 0.000774 0.001360 0.002224 0.003544
2025-10-19 0.000076 0.000190 0.000397 0.000768 0.001375 0.002282 0.003684
2025-10-26 0.000067 0.000176 0.000380 0.000754 0.001377 0.002322 0.003798
2025-11-02 0.000062 0.000169 0.000376 0.000763 0.001415 0.002415 0.003992
2025-11-09 0.000057 0.000161 0.000369 0.000763 0.001440 0.002490 0.004159
2025-11-16 0.000049 0.000146 0.000347 0.000739 0.001422 0.002496 0.004224
2025-11-23 0.000042 0.000133 0.000328 0.000716 0.001406 0.002504 0.004292
2025-11-30 0.000038 0.000126 0.000320 0.000713 0.001423 0.002566 0.004441
2025-12-07 0.000035 0.000120 0.000313 0.000714 0.001445 0.002635 0.004602